按键盘上方向键 ← 或 → 可快速上下翻页，按键盘上的 Enter 键可回到本书目录页，按键盘上方向键 ↑ 可回到本页顶部！
————未阅读完？加入书签已便下次继续阅读！
请记住，没有实现的期望是最容易导致情绪不安的。外部世界的表达方式如果和我们的期望或信仰冲突时，精神痛苦就成了普遍的反应。结果是，如果市场信息和我们的期望不一致，我们就会自动把信息定义解读成有威胁的。这种解读让我们的思想变成了消极的，防守的，这正是我们极力避免的结果。
Market information is only threatening if you are expecting the market to do something for you。 Otherwise； if you don’t expect the market to make you right； you have no reason to be afraid of being wrong。 If you don’t expect the market to make you a winner； you have no reason to be afraid of losing。 If you don’t expect the market to keep going in your direction indefinitely； there is no reason to leave money on the table。 Finally； if you don’t expect to be able to take advantage of every opportunity just because you perceived it and it presented itself； you have no reason to be afraid of missing out。
如果你期望市场帮你做什么，市场信息就仅仅是有威胁的。否则，如果你不期望市场证明你是对的，你没有理由害怕犯错。如果你不期望市场让你成为赢家，你没有理由害怕亏损。如果你不是期望永远市场向对你有利的方向走，没有理由一战就败。最终，如果你看见了机会，却不期望抓住机会，你没有理由害怕错过机会。
On the other hand； if you believe that all you need to know is：
另一方面，如果你相信你所有要知道的是：
1。 the odds are in your favor before you put on a trade；
2。 how much it’s going to cost to find out if the trade is going to work；
3。 you don’t need to know what’s going to happen next to make money on that trade； and
4。 anything can happen；
1。 在你交易前，概率对你有利；
2。 亏损多少之后才能确认一笔交易是无效的；
3。 你不必知道下一步会如何都能赚钱；
4。 任何事都会发生；
Then how can the market make you wrong？ What information could the market generate about itself that would cause your pain…avoidance mechanisms to kick in so that you exclude that information from your awareness？ None that I can think of。 If you believe that anything can happen and that you don’t need to know what is going to happen next to make money； then you will always be right。 Your expectations will always be in harmony with the conditions as they exist from the market’s perspective； effectively neutralizing your potential to experience emotional pain。
那么，市场是如何让你犯错的？是什么信息让你的痛苦回避系统起了作用？如果你相信任何事都会发生，你不必知道下一步如何都能赚钱，那么你就会永远正确。你的期望和市场状况一致，有效地中和了精神痛苦的概率。
By the same token； how can a losing trade or even a series of losers have the typical negative effect； if you really believe that trading is a probability or numbers game？ If your edge puts the odds in your favor； then every loss puts you that much closer to a win。 When you really believe this； your response to a losing trade will no longer take on a negative emotional quality。
同样的道理，如果你真的相信交易就是概率或数字游戏，那么一系列亏损的是如何形成消极的影响的？如果你的优势概率很大，那么一连串的亏损后，你赢的概率就大了。一旦你相信了，你对于亏损的交易就不再会有消极的情绪。
3。 There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge。 If every loss puts you that much closer to a win； you will be looking forward to the next occurrence of your edge； ready and waiting to jump in without the slightest reservation or hesitation。 On the other hand； if you still believe that trading is about analysis or about being right； then after a loss you will anticipate the occurrence of your next edge with trepidation； wondering if it’s going to work。 This； in turn； will cause you to start gathering evidence for or against the trade。 You will gather evidence for the trade if your fear of missing out is greater than your fear of losing。 And you will gather information against the trade if your fear of losing is greater than your fear of missing out。 In either case； you will not be in the most conducive state of mind to produce consistent results。
不管是什么变数定义的优势，赢亏间的分布是随机的。如果每一次亏损让你离赢利更加接近，你就寻找下一个优势，准备好不保留，毫不犹豫地跳进去。另一方面，如果你还相信交易就是靠分析或靠正确，那么当你亏损后，你就会提心吊胆地去寻找下次机会，心里还在想会不会成功。如果你害怕错过机会，不怎么害怕亏损，那么你就要自己找信心。如果你害怕亏损，不怎么害怕错过机会，那么你就要收集反面的信息。不管是哪种情况，你的思想状态都无法实现持续一致的收益。
4。 An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another。 Creating consistency requires that you pletely accept that trading isn’t about hoping； wondering； or gathering evidence one way or the other to determine if the next trade is going to work。 The only evidence you need to gather is whether the variables you use to define an edge are present at any given moment。 When you use “other” information； outside the parameters of your edge to decide whether you will take the trade； you are adding random variables to your trading regime。 Adding random variables makes it extremely difficult； if not impossible； to determine what works and what doesn’t。 If you’re never certain about the viability of your edge； you won’t feel too confident about it。 To whatever degree you lack confidence； you will experience fear。 The irony is； you will be afraid of random； inconsistent results； without realizing that your random； inconsistent approach is creating exactly what you are afraid of。
优势就是一件事发生的概率比另一件事发生的概率大。要想实现持续一致性，就要完全接受这个观点，交易不是希望、憧憬、收集信息以决定交易是否有效。你唯一要收集的证据就是一个定义优势的变数，它在任何时刻都有用。当你使用“其它”信息时，你就给你的交易系统添加了一个随机变数。变数多了，就很难决定哪个有效，哪个没效果。如果你的优势让你感到不确定，你就没有太多自信。不管是什么程度，只要没有自信，你就会体验到恐惧。讽刺的是，你会害怕随机的，不持续的结果，却没有想到你就是害怕随机的，不持续的方法。
On the other hand； if you believe that an edge is simply a higher probability of one thing happening over another； and there’s a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge； why would you gather “other” evidence for or against a trade？ To a trader operating out of these two beliefs； gathering “other” evidence woul