按键盘上方向键 ← 或 → 可快速上下翻页，按键盘上的 Enter 键可回到本书目录页，按键盘上方向键 ↑ 可回到本页顶部！
————未阅读完？加入书签已便下次继续阅读！
o beliefs； gathering “other” evidence wouldn’t make any sense。 Or let me put it this way： Gathering “other” evidence makes about as much sense as trying to determine whether the next flip of a coin will be heads； after the last ten flips came up tails。 Regardless of what evidence you find to support heads ing up； there is still a 50…percent chance that the next flip will e up tails。 By the same token； regardless of how much evidence you gather to support acting or not acting on a trade； it still only takes one trader somewhere in the world to negate the validity of any； if not all； of your evidence。 The point is why bother！ If the market is offering you a legitimate edge； determine the risk and take the trade。
另一方面，如果你相信优势就是比较高的概率，对于任何优势，赢亏都是随机分布的，那你为什么要收集“其它”证据来反对这笔交易呢？对于有这两个信念的交易者来说，收集“其它”证据没有实际含义。或者让我这么说：收集“其它”证据和10次掷硬币的结果是反面，现在决定下一次是积极，还是反面，是一个道理。不管你的证据如何说明下次是积极，还是有50％的机会为反面。同理，不管你交易的证据是多么充分，这个世界上只要有一个交易者反着做，你的证据就失效了。重点是，没有必要这么做！如果市场给你提供了优势，衡量风险，然后交易。
5。 Every moment in the market is unique。 Take a moment and think about the concept of uniqueness。 “Unique” means not like anything else that exists or has ever existed。 As much as we may understand the concept of uniqueness； our minds don’t deal with it very well on a practical level。 As we have already discussed； our minds are hardwired to automatically associate （without conscious awareness） anything in the exterior environment that is similar to anything that is already inside of us in the form of a memory； belief； or attitude。 This creates an inherent contradiction between the way we naturally think about the world and the way the world exists。 No two moments in the external environment will ever exactly duplicate themselves。 To do so； every atom or every molecule would have to be in the exact same position they were in some previous moment。 Not a very likely possibility。 Yet； based on the way our minds are designed to process information； we will experience the “now moment” in the environment as being exactly the same as some previous moment as it exists inside our minds。
任何时候市场都是独特的。花点时间想想独特的概念。“独特”意味着和任何东西都不一样。不管我们如何理解独特的概念，我们的思想处理不好它。我们已经讨论过了，我们的思想天生自动地把外部环境和我们内部的记忆、信念或态度联系起来。这样就导致我们天生的想法和现实有矛盾。这个世界上没有两个相同的东西。要想实现这点，每个原子和分子必须在和之前一样的空间存在。这不太可能实现。然而，根据我们思想处理信息的方法，我们会同时体验环境中的“现在”和思想中的过去。
If each moment is like no other； then there’s nothing at the level of your rational experience that can tell you for sure that you “know” what will happen next。 So I will say again； why bother trying to know？！ When you try to know； you are； in essence； trying to be right。 I am not implying here that you can’t predict what the market will do next and be right； because you most certainly can。 It’s in the trying that you run into all of the problems。 If you believe that you correctly predicted the market once； you will naturally try to do it again。 As a result； your mind will automatically start scanning the market for the same pattern； circumstance； or situation that existed the last time you correctly predicted its movement。 When you find it； your state of mind will make it seem as if everything is exactly as it was the last time。 The problem is that； from the market’s perspective； it is not the same。 As a result； you are setting yourself up for disappointment。
如果每个时刻都不相同，那么就没有什么理性的经验让你“知道”下一步会如何。所以我要说，尽量正确。我并不是说你不能预测市场的下一步，因为很多时候你是能做到的。我是说要尽量解决这些问题。如果你认为你曾经有一次正确地预测了市场，你自然还想去尝试。结果是，你的思想会自动地扫描市场，寻找一样的模式、环境、或状况，它们上次证明预测是正确的。当你找到了，你的思想会觉得一切都和上次一样。问题是，从市场的角度来说，并不一样。结果是，你自己让自己失望了。
What separates the best traders from all the rest is that they have trained their minds to believe in the uniqueness of each moment （although this training usually takes the form of losing several fortunes before they “really” believe in the concept of uniqueness）。 This belief acts as a counteracting force； neutralizing the automatic association mechanism。 When you truly believe that each moment is unique； then by definition there isn’t anything in your mind for the association mechanism to link that moment to。 This belief acts as an internal force causing you to disassociate the “now” moment in the market from any previous moment filed away in your mental environment。 The stronger your belief in the uniqueness of each moment； the lower your potential to associate。 The lower your potential to associate； the more open your mind will be to perceive what the market is offering you from its perspective。
最优秀的交易者和其他人的区别是，最优秀的交易者训练自己的思想相信市场在任何时刻都是独特的（虽然大多情况下是亏损了很多财富之后才“真的”相信独特的概念）。对于自动联想系统来说，这个信念就是反作用力，能中和一下。一旦你真的相信每个时刻都是独特的，那么根据定义来说，没有什么东西可以联想了。这个信念就是内部的力量，让你把市场的“现在”和思想环境的过去分开。你的信念越强，你就越不会去联想。你越不联想，你的思想越开放，你就会看到市场提供给你的东西。
MOVING TOWARD “THE ZONE”
进入这个“状态”
When you pletely accept the psychological realities of the market； you will correspondingly accept the risks of trading。 When you accept the risks of trading； you eliminate the potential to define market information in painful ways。 When you stop defining and interpreting market information in painful ways； there is nothing for your mind to avoid； nothing to protect against。 When there’s nothing to protect against； you will have access to all that you know about the nature of market movement。 Nothing will get blocked； which means you will perceive all the possibilities you have learned about （objectively）； and since your mind is open to a true exc